Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 1.284784e-03 0.001441 0.001598 0.001766 0.001940 0.002115 0.002305
2025-10-19 1.023787e-03 0.001249 0.001481 0.001736 0.002006 0.002283 0.002588
2025-10-26 8.179623e-04 0.001092 0.001382 0.001710 0.002064 0.002432 0.002842
2025-11-02 6.495987e-04 0.000958 0.001297 0.001686 0.002115 0.002568 0.003076
2025-11-09 5.161216e-04 0.000850 0.001229 0.001675 0.002173 0.002705 0.003308
2025-11-16 4.097148e-04 0.000762 0.001176 0.001672 0.002236 0.002843 0.003537
2025-11-23 3.216400e-04 0.000686 0.001130 0.001673 0.002298 0.002977 0.003758
2025-11-30 2.762503e-04 0.000659 0.001138 0.001734 0.002425 0.003180 0.004053
2025-12-07 2.080747e-04 0.000592 0.001093 0.001728 0.002473 0.003293 0.004246
2025-12-14 1.394811e-04 0.000512 0.001026 0.001692 0.002483 0.003361 0.004386
2025-12-21 1.062630e-04 0.000481 0.001018 0.001724 0.002570 0.003514 0.004619
2025-12-28 6.176693e-05 0.000418 0.000963 0.001697 0.002585 0.003583 0.004758
2026-01-04 2.411472e-05 0.000359 0.000923 0.001703 0.002661 0.003745 0.005027
2026-01-11 7.155946e-07 0.000291 0.000865 0.001685 0.002708 0.003875 0.005264
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000229 0.000808 0.001667 0.002754 0.004004 0.005499
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000175 0.000755 0.001649 0.002797 0.004130 0.005730
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000132 0.000711 0.001640 0.002851 0.004265 0.005972
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000097 0.000675 0.001640 0.002913 0.004410 0.006223
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000069 0.000643 0.001642 0.002977 0.004554 0.006472
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000060 0.000653 0.001703 0.003114 0.004785 0.006819
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000037 0.000618 0.001698 0.003165 0.004913 0.007047
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000014 0.000565 0.001662 0.003175 0.004991 0.007216
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000007 0.000559 0.001695 0.003272 0.005171 0.007501